VENTURE 01 // LIVE PRODUCTION APP
BoundedQuote Conformal RFQ Intelligence
ZERO-SHOT TABPFN + SPLIT CONFORMAL PREDICTION

Never Underbid a Custom Job Ever Again.

Standard Excel lookup tables ignore setup bottlenecks and tolerance spikes. Generic LLMs hallucinate numbers. BoundedQuote calibrates on just 200 of your past jobs in <1 second and wraps every new quote in a mathematically guaranteed 90%–95% cost coverage band.

⚡ Try Live Hero Calibration Slider: Drag Part Tolerance ±0.025 mm (Precision)
±0.005 mm (Ultra-Tight Aerospace) ±0.050 mm (Standard CNC) ±0.100 mm (Rough Commercial)
Calibration Data Needed
200+ Rows
Zero ML training required
Coverage Guarantee
≥ 95.0%
Distribution-free math
Avg Margin Recovered
+$142,800/yr
32x ROI on $399/mo plan

Live Conformal Density & Risk Telemetry

Real-time probability wave $P(Y_{n+1} \in \hat{C}_\alpha(X_{n+1})) \ge 1 - \alpha$

IN-DISTRIBUTION // SAFE
Naive Excel Quote: $3,840
90% Safe Bid (+22%): $5,410
95% Bulletproof Ceiling: $5,980
Legacy Excel Quote
$3,840
-$580 Underbid Risk
90% Conformal Target Bid
$5,410
Guaranteed 22% Margin
95% Bulletproof Bid
$5,980
Spread: ±14.2%
Scientific Architecture // Peer-Reviewed Moat

How BoundedQuote Turns 200 Messy Excel Rows into a Mathematical Guarantee

Watch the live telemetry pipeline below: we combine synthetic Prior-Data Fitted Networks (TabPFN) with Distribution-Free Split Conformal Calibration (MAPIE).

STAGE 01 // INPUT Past Shop Jobs CSV 200 to 2,000 historical rows: • Material & Process • Tolerance & Batch Qty • Actual Final Cost ($) STAGE 02 // TABPFN v2 Zero-Shot Prior Fitting Pre-trained on 100M+ synthetic causal structural equations. Single Pass: 0.42 Seconds STAGE 03 // MAPIE CONFORMAL Residual Quantile Calibration R_i = |y_i - f(x_i)| / σ(x_i) Computes exact finite-sample coverage bounds (90% / 95%). + Mahalanobis OOD Detector STAGE 04 // OUTPUT Guaranteed Quote Floor: $4,420 90% Safe: $5,410 95% Max: $5,980
Interactive Workspace // Live Software Module

Risk-Calibrated RFQ Quoting Studio

Configure a custom part RFQ below or load a preset to compute real-time Split Conformal cost bounds.

01. New RFQ Part Specifications

Calibrated on 412 Jobs
Tightest Feature Tolerance (± mm) ±0.025 mm
Batch Quantity (Units) 25 units
Est. Machine Hrs 18.5 hrs
Setup / CAM Hrs 6.0 hrs
Geometry Complexity (1-10) 7 / 10
Target Gross Margin (%) 22%
Expected True Cost (50%)
$4,430
Excel Lookup Guess: $3,840

Quoting based on Excel loses $590 before margin.

Recommended Bid
90% Guaranteed Safe Bid
$5,410
90% Cost Ceiling: $4,434

Mathematically guarantees cost coverage + target margin on 9/10 jobs.

95% Bulletproof Bid
$5,980
95% Cost Ceiling: $4,902

Covers worst-case tool wear, scrap spikes, and setup overruns.

Non-Linear Cost Driver Breakdown (TabPFN Shapley Attributions)

Interval Width: ±14.2%
FREE PLG LEAD MAGNET // COLD OUTREACH HOOK

Historical CSV Margin-Leak Detector

In our zero-network cold outreach playbook, we offer shop owners a free audit of their past 200 jobs. Upload any CSV (or click below to run on our 412-job CNC Shop dataset) to see the exact jobs where linear Excel formulas silently bled profit.

Jobs Underbid by Excel
78 / 412 (18.9%)
Annual Margin Recoverable
+$142,850
Cross-Validated Shop Margin Leak Report (Worst Offenders) 5-Fold Split Conformal Backtest
Job ID Material & Spec Excel Quote Actual Cost Net Loss BoundedQuote 90%
Organic Growth Engine // 200+ Programmatic Landing Pages

Programmatic SEO Niche Calculators

Click any high-intent long-tail search page below to preview how BoundedQuote captures #1 Google rankings for specific manufacturing processes and alloys—and automatically loads that exact calibration profile into the quoter.

View XML Sitemap (sitemap.xml) ↗
High-Leverage B2B SaaS Pricing

Pays for a Full Year on Your First Saved Underbid

Job Shop Starter
$299/mo

For single-estimator custom machine & fabrication shops (up to 1,000 historical rows).

  • ✓ Unlimited Split Conformal Quotes
  • ✓ 80%, 90%, 95% Coverage Intervals
  • ✓ Out-of-Distribution (OOD) Alerts
  • ✓ Branded Client Quote PDF Export
Start 14-Day Free Trial
Most Popular // 72% of Shops
Precision Pro
$499/mo

For multi-estimator CNC, EDM, and injection molding facilities (up to 10,000 rows).

  • ✓ Everything in Starter + 5 Estimator Seats
  • ✓ Automated ERP / CSV Continuous Sync
  • ✓ Live Alloy Commodity Surcharge Index
  • ✓ Shapley Non-Linear Cost Attribution
Launch Pro Workspace →
Enterprise Multi-Plant
$1,250/mo

Dedicated private TabPFN instance, ITAR/SOC2 compliance, and custom API webhooks.

  • ✓ Unlimited Estimators & Plant Locations
  • ✓ Direct JobBOSS / ECI M1 / NetSuite API
  • ✓ Custom Conformal Risk Policy Rules
  • ✓ Dedicated Solutions Engineer
View Enterprise Data Room